|Win total||11 (888)||11.5 (Sky/365)|
|2020 Strength of schedule|
The Ravens marched to an easy division win last year finishing as the #1 seed in the AFC after a 14-2 season before stumbling at the first in the playoffs in a lose to the Titans, but it looks like things won’t get too much tougher for them this year. The least travel of any team in the league and the 9th easiest schedule according to win totals puts them in good stead to repeat their division win again this year.
As much as I want to dislike them, I just can’t. They have built the correct way and done it brilliantly since deciding to trade back into the first round to take Lamar Jackson in 2018, they ignored the mouthpieces suggesting he should be an RB or WR and decided to build around his talents and as such it was no surprise to see them lead the league in rushing attempts last season. Lamar himself won the MVP, rushed for 1,200 yards and threw for a league-leading 36 TDs. I would expect both of those numbers to drop this year as teams figure them out a little more and just from general variance. The efficiency on TD throws surely won’t keep up.
That’s not to say they won’t win as many games this year though, and the bookies think similar. They come into the season without being seen as an underdog in ANY game. 15 favourites (including hosting the Chiefs) and 1 pickem at the Steelers.
With Lamar the run game was outstanding. Ingram, Edwards, even Justice Hill chipped in with a bit, and they re-loaded there as well with the pickup of JK Dobbins who could be better than all of them. A lot of experts seem to think Marquise ‘Hollywood’ Brown is on for a good season this year, he came into last off an injury which hampered him early on, but he showed in spurts what he’s capable of and an injury-free off-season will of course help him. Realistically though he’s at best the second target in the passing game behind TE Mark Andrews who broke out last year with 852 yards and 10 TDs. The other pass catchers are bit pieces on the whole, Myles Boykin will hope for a better second year, Willie Snead is average, then you’re down to rookies Devin Duvernay and James Proche.
The draft fell very well for them though, they picked up arguably the best LB in Patrick Queen from LSU who probably isn’t a bad bet for DROTY (best priced 12/1 at Paddypower) and went back in for the same position with Malik Harrison in the third round, it was probably their one “position of need” (in quote marks as it’s a relative phrasing given the strength of others on their roster) – They lost Marshal Yanda at guard which is a loss, but the way they ran the ball last year I’m not sure they’ll miss a beat too much.
Ravens related bets below. (lines as of date of posting)
|Lamar Jackson pass yards||3,127 (15)||3199.5 (PP)||3250.5 (888)|
|Lamar Jackson TD passes||36|
|Lamar Jackson rush yards||1,206||919.5 (PP)||975.5 (888)|
|Marquise Brown rec. yards||584 (14)||800.5 (888)|
|Mark Andrews rec. yards||852 (15)||900.5 (888)|
|JK Dobbins rush yards|
|Mark Ingram rush yards||1,018 (15)||750.5 (888)|