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Week 7 Prime Picks

Each week I’ll bring you a mix of DFS plays that I like for cash and tournament games. I won’t be focusing too much on the elite plays such as Christian McCaffery, Lamar Jackson and Michael Thomas instead, I’ll look for value in matchups that have the potential to be high scoring and return good points to dollar ratio. If we can find that we can open up our lineups to be built better. Through the season I’ll also review my previous weeks plays so you can judge for yourself how good my takes are. 

Tom Strachan

@BestBallUKNFL

Week 6 Review

Great week for the plays we had down. Both QB’s (Tannehill and Cousins), went crazy. Miles Gaskin returned a great dollars to points ratio. Antonio Gibson did enough to justify his price tag. Kenny Golladay and Justin Jefferson both had fantastic games but unfortunately, TY Hilton had a TD ruled out along with another big gain, to hinder a perfect set of wideout picks. My lone pick at TE, Evan Engram, was a poor play with only 5ppr points. All in all, if you mixed in these picks to your lineups, the good outweighed the bad. 

Plays so far:

Great plays: 19

Good plays: 18

Bad plays: 15

 Week 7 

Josh Allen Vs NYJ – $7700

This one is a little pricier than I like to put in the column, but it just seems like such a smash spot I’d hate for anyone to overlook it. The 2020 Jets are truly abysmal. Very little positives across the whole roster. Currently giving up an average of 21 fantasy points to quarterbacks Josh Allen is a safe bet to surpass that, thanks to his goal-line usage, along with the Bills looking for a bounce-back result. If you can free up the cash to pay up at quarterback, this is one of my favourites. 

Matt Stafford Vs ATL – $6500

Week after week I’ve targeted the Falcons pass defence and this week will be no different. The only thing that prevented the Lions from being more dominant through the air against Jacksonville was game script. They got up early, and for once held onto a lead. The Falcons should be able to hold their own much better, particularly with the beastly return of Julio Jones. The game currently is a 55 point over/under, with the Falcons favoured by 2.5. In other words, we’re expecting a shoot out. The Falcons allow the most fantasy points to quarterbacks and I am confident Stafford returns the value and picks up the 300 passing yard bonus. 

Justin Jackson Vs JAX – $4900

It sounds like Austin Ekeler will remain out for a while for the Chargers and for now, we can continue to take advantage of Jackson’s pricing. The Lions gashed Jacksonville on the ground, and the Jaguars currently rank 28th in defence against the position. At this price expect Justin Jackson to be a fairly chalky pick, but in cash games that won’t matter. The flexibility this price gives you should help you get up to the likes of Kamara, Aaron Jones or Zeke, who all have great plays. Lastly, the Chargers are favoured by 7.5, so if the game goes the way the industry expects, Justin Jackson & Joshua Kelley ($5100) could be in line for plenty of rushing attempts. 

Kenyan Drake Vs SEA – $4800

This play is a bit of a mixed bag. Drake comes in fresh off his best performance of the season returning 31.4 points but now faces the sixth-best rushing defence. Having played the MNF game he was priced beforehand, so he comes in at a very cheap $4800. I wouldn’t expect him to return as high as last week, but four of six games he’s returned over 12 points. If he can get up and over 15, that would do just fine for a point to dollar ratio. 

Terry McLaurin Vs DAL – $5800

McLaurin is the one reliable pass catcher in this poor Washington offence. He has a 29% target share and averages over 10 targets per game. The Dallas defence is the second-worst in the league against pass catchers and with Washington utilising him all over the field, he should give them problems. There’s every chance Dallas tries to turn this into a Zeke game and command game time, but even in that situation, it improves the chances of McLaurin receiving a high amount of targets when Washington is in possession. 

Breshad Perriman Vs Bills – $3700

Perriman was one of the few bright spots of the Jets horrendous loss in Miami, totalling 4/62. The Bills meanwhile aren’t quite as hot against the pass as we’d expect with Tre’Davious White not quite at his high form of last year. If Darnold can return this becomes a more confident play. If you’re desperate for a cheap receiver or looking for tournament differentials, this might be the play. I also wouldn’t be afraid to use Perriman as a running it back option when stacking Bills. 

Christian Kirk Vs SEA – $4900

The breakout finally happened for Kirk against Dallas going 2/86/2. Next up he faces the worst defence against receivers at home to Seattle. So far the Seahawks give up an average of almost 38 points to the position, per game. Outside of DeAndre Hopkins, Kirk has shown to be the best pass-catching option for the Cardinals and if this one turns into a shootout, as the 55.5 over/under expects, Kirk should see enough opportunities to smash his price. 

Jared Cook Vs Car – $4300

The panthers defence has played better than expected, considering they used every draft pick in April on the defensive side of the ball and then had zero preseason games. With that said, Jared Cook is staring down the barrel of opportunity. Michael Thomas has been ruled out due to a hamstring injury and Emmanuel Sanders has landed on the Covid/Reserve list. Kamara should see an uptick in targets, but outside of him and Tre’Quan Smith, Cook is the only reliable option left. In a matchup that’s far from scary, he should be a solid play. 

T.J Hockenson VS ATL – $5100

Hockenson gets to play the worst team in the league against the Tight End position. He has yet to smash this season but if he’s going to this game could easily be it. The Falcons give up an average of 73 yards and 1.18TD’s to the position. The game has large shootout potential with a 55 over/under and the Falcons slightly favoured by 2.5. This game has huge potential for stacks with bring backs on both sides. 

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